Should you go all-in on Aaron Rodgers this week in DFS? Or should you play it safe?
In this preview, I will review every key player in the Green Bay @ Carolina game in Week 15 of 2017.
The label in parenthesis is the amount of exposure I propose you have of that player in your lineups this week: None, low, medium, or high exposure. I’ll include notes in the description if you should alter that based on cash or GPP contests or if you’re playing on DraftKings or FanDuel. Fantasy points allowed data referenced from FantasyData.
Green Bay @ Carolina Sun. 1:00 PM ET
Vegas implied point totals:
Green Bay: 22.25
QB Aaron Rodgers (DK: $6800, FD: $8500): Aaron Rodgers is back and the projected starter this week. There is a lot of guessing as to how much rust, if any, he will have. Given the aggressive bump in his price and Jordy Nelson’s price, the operators seem to think he will be back to his normal self. Definitely have moderate exposure to Rodgers in his return this week. (Medium exposure)
WR Davante Adams (DK: $6800, FD: $7300): Adams was the apple of Brett Hundley’s eye. But now that Rodgers is back, Adams may move from the WR1 to the WR1B to Nelson’s WR1A. It won’t make a huge impact, but it limits Adams’ upside. (Medium exposure)
WR Jordy Nelson (DK: $6300, FD: $7200): Expectations are high for Nelson this week. It seems likely that he will hit is value, as Rodgers is going to target him heavily. (Medium exposure)
WR Randall Cobb (DK: $4900, FD: $5700): If the Vegas implied total was higher for the Packers, I would be inclined to recommend Cobb as well. He very well could have a good game, but this isn’t projected to be all that high scoring, and someone will have to lose out. Not a good cash game play, but still cheap enough for tournaments. (Cash: No exposure, GPP: Low exposure)
RB Jamaal Williams (DK: $6500, FD: $7300): With his 3rd huge game in a row, Williams’ salary has skyrocketed. He has been taking advantage of the situation, but how will things change with Rodgers back? Will they have to run the ball as much as they have been? Especially if the Packers get behind in this game, which is likely, Williams may not be needed to be a workhorse in this game, making him particularly risky. (Cash: Low exposure, GPP: Medium exposure)
QB Cam Newton (DK: $6400, FD: $7900): Green Bay is a pretty good matchup for Cam Newton, with the Packers defense giving up 3 touchdowns to DeShone Kizer last week, and 4 touchdowns to Ben Roethlisberger a few weeks before that. Newton has not been throwing for many passing yards this year, but he’s making up for it with rushing stats and touchdowns. This should be a good spot to play Newton in all formats. (Medium exposure)
WR Devin Funchess (DK: $6600, FD: $7300): The Packers are allowing the 4th-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this year. His salary is a bit high now, but for the last 4 weeks he has at least 100 yards or a touchdown. (Medium exposure)
RB Christian McCaffrey (DK: $6700, FD: $6800): His upside just isn’t showing up this year. His salary has risen to a point where he has to have an above-average game just to hit value. (No exposure)
RB Jonathan Stewart (DK: $4100, FD: $5800): He had one of his unpredictable outbursts last week with 3 touchdowns and 100+ yards. Don’t go chasing that game again. The most likely scenario is that Stewart goes back to normal this week. (No exposure)
TE Greg Olsen (DK: $4000, FD: $5600): Wait for him to show he’s fully back to his old self before starting him. (No exposure)