There are some important fantasy players to look at in this game. The Vegas line has Minnesota projected to win by only two.
In this preview, I will review every key player in the Minnesota @ Carolina game in Week 14 of 2017. Reviews of all of the games can be found on the main page for the Mega Preview Week 14 edition.
The label in parenthesis is the amount of exposure I propose you have of that player in your lineups this week: None, low, medium, or high exposure. I’ll include notes in the description if you should alter that based on cash or GPP contests or if you’re playing on DraftKings or FanDuel. Fantasy points allowed data referenced from FantasyData.
Minnesota @ Carolina Sun. 1:00 PM ET
Vegas implied point totals:
QB Case Keenum (DK: $6100, FD: $7500): Carolina is slightly below-average in points allowed to quarterbacks. Keenum’s 227 yards and 2 TDs was not amazing, but still a solid performance. His floor is high, with at least 200 yards and 1 TD in each of the past 5 games, and at least 2 TDs in 4 of the past 5 games. I’m not sure why his salary isn’t higher. He’s ranked the 13th-highest salary for QBs on DraftKings. He’s a decent play no matter the site or game format. (Cash: Medium exposure, GPP: Low exposure)
WR Adam Thielen (DK: $7200, FD: $7500): Carolina is an average-difficulty matchup for wide receivers. Thielen had a season-low for targets last week with 5, which is likely an anomaly. His slightly lower salary this week is due to his “cold streak” of 2 games without a touchdown. He’s still the same top-end WR1 with a high floor and high ceiling. Use Thielen a fair amount in your lineups this week. (Cash: Medium exposure, GPP: Medium exposure)
WR Stefon Diggs (DK: $5800, FD: $6800): Diggs saw 5 targets last week, which translated into only 2 catches for 32 yards. He continues to be a boom/bust player who’s had 3 straight games without a TD and under 70 yards receiving. His unpredictability makes him unplayable in cash, but you should have some ownership of him in GPP contests due to his fair price and high upside. (Cash: No exposure, GPP: Low exposure)
RB Jerick McKinnon (DK: $5300, FD: $6000): His receiving touchdown last week helped him hit value. It’s only his 2nd receiving TD of the year though, so it’s not something we should count on repeating. He’s still second to Murray for touches in this offense. It’s confusing why he’s more expensive than Murray on DraftKings. He’s priced fairly on FanDuel. There’s no reason to roster him on DraftKings when you can have Murray for cheaper. (No exposure)
RB Latavius Murray (DK: $5000, FD: $6400): Murray is the one to own in this backfield. He had a great 30 yard run last week where he got tackled at the two yard-line and McKinnon vultured the TD. Murray’s touches are reliable. He has at least 15 carries in each of the last 7 games to go along with 5 touchdowns in that span. With the Vikings projected to win this game, he could also be relied on heavily in the second half to bleed out the clock. Use him in both cash and GPPs this week. (Medium exposure)
TE Kyle Rudolph (DK: $4800, FD: $6000): Carolina is tough against tight ends. They’re allowing the 4th-least fantasy points to TEs this year. Rudolph has been incredibly reliable, with at least 4 catches in each of his last 8 games. TDs can be fluky, but Rudolph has 3 TDs in the past two weeks combined. At his reasonable salary, there’s no reason not to include some of him in your lineups, but keep expectations in check given the difficult matchup. (Low exposure)
QB Cam Newton (DK: $6200, FD: $7700): Newton had a solid fantasy game last week. He’s been doing a lot of it on the ground though. In the past 5 games, he’s only broken 200 yards passing once. However, he’s averaged about 50 yards rushing over that span. Minnesota is a somewhat difficult matchup for QBs, and they just shut down Matt Ryan last week. Newton’s a much different quarterback than Ryan though. He should be owned a bit in both cash and GPP this week. (Low exposure)
WR Devin Funchess (DK: $6100, FD: $7100): Against the Saints last week, Funchess had 7 targets for 4 caches, 60 yards and a touchdown. That’s at least 13 DK points in each of the past four weeks. He’s a trusted option for Newton to go to, and Minnesota is average against fantasy points allowed to wide receivers. On DraftKings, Funchess’s salary is in the range of Cooper Kupp and Jarvis Landry. Funchess has higher upside than either of those guys and about the same floor as them. Play Funchess this week in all formats. (Medium exposure)
RB Christian McCaffrey (DK: $6700, FD: $6800): Last week on the ground, McCaffrey went 6/16/0 and in the air went 5/33/1. He has a clear role in this offense and has a high floor. However, we’re all waiting to see a big outburst from him. Unfortunately, Minnesota is the toughest matchup you could ask for. They are allowing the least fantasy points to running backs in the league this year. Fade McCaffrey this week in all formats. (No exposure)
RB Jonathan Stewart (DK: $3500, FD: $5300): Due to the very difficult matchup, there’s no point in starting Stewart this week, even with his low salary. (No exposure)
TE Greg Olsen (DK: $4300, FD: $5800): Olsen has been in and out recently coming back from his foot injury. He’s “optimistic” about this week, but we’ll see. Since he has already started a game and had to leave early, don’t play him until he starts and finishes a complete game. (No exposure)
Image: Icon Sportswire