Cleveland is winless on the year, and Green Bay is only projected to beat them by 3.5 points. That goes to show how critical Aaron Rodgers is to this entire team.
In this preview, I will review every key player in the Packers vs. Browns game in Week 14 of 2017. Reviews of all of the games can be found on the main page for the Mega Preview Week 14 edition.
The label in parenthesis is the amount of exposure I propose you have of that player in your lineups this week: None, low, medium, or high exposure. I’ll include notes in the description if you should alter that based on cash or GPP contests or if you’re playing on DraftKings or FanDuel. Fantasy points allowed data referenced from FantasyData.
Green Bay @ Cleveland Sun. 1:00 PM ET
Vegas implied point totals:
Green Bay: 22.0
QB Brett Hundley (DK: $5700, FD: $6900): As you saw in last week’s post-mortem, I took a couple of my lineups last week and went all-in on Hundley and the Green Bay passing game. It didn’t turn out well. It’s tempting to go back to Hundley as a cheap dart throw since the Browns are an easy matchup. However, I’m going to pass because we found that his floor is even lower than we thought (only 84 passing yards last week) and somehow his salary actually increased on both FanDuel and DraftKings. There are way better quarterback options at his salary level. (No exposure)
WR Davante Adams (DK: $6600, FD: $6900): Going into last week, Adams had been on a hot-streak with at least 19 DK points in the previous 3 games. Last week he ended up with a line of 4/42/0. Cleveland is surprisingly the 12th-toughest fantasy matchup for wide receivers this year, so this isn’t an especially great spot for Adams. Combine all that with the low projected total for the game, and you can safely fade Adams this week. (No exposure)
WR Jordy Nelson (DK: $4500, FD: $5900): Last week was Nelson’s best game in the past month. His stat line was 5/17/0. Enough said. (No exposure)
WR Randall Cobb (DK: $4000, FD: $5000): 0/0/0 is his stat line from last week. Add in zero targets too. (No exposure)
RB Jamaal Williams (DK: $5900, FD: $6600): Williams has had a very healthy 20 attempts per game for the past month, and finally broke the 100 yard mark last week. He’ll likely spend the second half of this game bleeding the clock and racking up yards. He’s a fantastic value play in all formats on both sites. (High exposure)
RB Aaron Jones (DK: $4700, FD: $5400): He was absent last week outside of his vulture touchdown. Williams has taken hold of this backfield for now. (No exposure)
QB DeShone Kizer (DK: $4900, FD: $6400): I brought up Kizer last week as a potential discount QB play. He wasn’t too bad. He passed for 215/1/1 and ran for 5/46/0. It’s those running stats that keep him relevant. Kizer didn’t look good last week, but Josh Gordon did. If they can somehow get lucky and connect on a couple big throws, Kizer could pay off in GPP. I’ll be playing a couple of Kizer/Gordon stacks this week. (Cash: No exposure, GPP: Medium exposure)
WR Josh Gordon (DK: $5500, FD: $6700): If you watch the tape, Gordon actually looked really good last week. Kizer was inaccurate and couldn’t find a way to connect with Gordon. However, even with poor quarterback play, Gordon was able to translate 11 targets into 4 catches for 85 yards. He’s a definite play in GPP, and with that many targets at only $5.5k, you can actually consider him in cash games as well. (Cash: Low exposure, GPP: High exposure)
WR Corey Coleman (DK: $4100, FD: $5700): 4 targets for zero catches last week is kind of concerning. His price is severely discounted though. He’s okay as a cheap dart-throw in GPP, but not much else. (Cash: No exposure, GPP: Low exposure)
RB Duke Johnson (DK: $4600, FD: $5900): Green Bay is a positive matchup for opposing running backs, but Duke has had back-to-back crappy performances with only 12 total yards and 2 catches last week. The talent is there, but the offense just isn’t clicking enough for Duke to have reliable fantasy value. (No exposure)
RB Isaiah Crowell (DK: $4000, FD: $5500): He had another typical performance last week of 10 carries for 41 yards. Even at $4k and a decent matchup, it’s hard to get excited. He needs the Browns to be in the lead to have value, and that never happens. (No exposure)
TE David Njoku (DK: $3000, FD: $4700): Njoku had his season-best game last week with 4/74/1. However, Green Bay is allowing the least fantasy points to tight ends of any team in the league. This is a bad spot for Njoku, so don’t expect his one good game to carry over to this week. (No exposure)
Image: Icon Sportswire